Fire SuzakuTier 2
at GA Regional Kuwait
decks
1
(5.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
0-3-2
overall winrate
20.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
33.9%
avg ELO -9.3 per match
expected value
46.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
46.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1163
· median 1163
· range 1163–1163
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1155
Q1 1171
Q3 1297
1353
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aggro | 25.0% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.9% | -0.1 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 10.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.2% | -15.7 |
| Horse and Taxes | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 5.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.9% | -12.9 |
| Fire Slimes | 5.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.6% | -16.7 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Assassin | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Alice | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 5.0% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.5% | -0.9 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Suzaku decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
